Victoria Premier makes a false claim about trans suicides

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Real Statistics on Suicidality in Transgender Youth VS Jacinta Allan Victoria Premier, pushing LGBT indoctrination view.


WHAT IS THE EVIDENCE?

Suicide attempts and about 2.5 times higher odds of attempts requiring medical treatment, compared to cisgender youth PMC.

2. Attempts and ideation behaviours in broader surveys

  • A study in the Journal of Adolescent Health noted transgender youth were over four times more likely to have seriously considered suicide, and almost five times more likely to have attempted suicide compared to cisgender peers Datalab Wiki.

  • Another study found transgender teens were 7.6× more likely to attempt suicide than their cisgender peers, with suicidal ideation about 5× higher, according to Medical News Today.

3. Australian Trans Pathways survey

  • This large Australian study (ages 14–25) reported 48% of transgender participants had attempted suicide—compared with 2.4% of the general adolescent population: that’s roughly 20× higher ABCThe Kids Research Institute Australia.

4. Completed suicide rates in clinical samples

  • A UK study looked at adolescents referred to gender identity services (2010–2020). The suicide rate among these youth was 5.5 times higher than that of general adolescents in England and Wales (14–17 years old) PMC.

So, is the “15× more likely to kill themselves” claim accurate?

No, it's misleading or unsubstantiated. Here's why:

  • Most studies focus on suicidal ideation or attempts, not completed suicides.

  • Among clinical populations, completed suicide rate differences are around 5.5× higher, not 15× PMC.

  • The often-cited 20× figure from Australia refers to attempts, not completed suicides, and comes from a specific survey sample—not general population data. ABC The Kids Research Institute Australia.

  • Victoria’s Premier may have drawn the figure from LGBTIQ+ Health Australia materials. Still, no credible source or peer-reviewed evidence supports a blanket “15× more likely to die by suicide” across all contexts. The Australian.

Summary Table

OutcomeObserved Increase (approx.)
Suicidal ideation~3× higher odds (California, U.S.)
Suicide attempts (lifetime or past year)2.5× to 7.6× higher (depending on study/sample)
Completed suicide (clinical sample)~5.5× higher (UK gender clinic)

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